|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 10:57:34 GMT -8
Who the hell starts reading five minutes before the end? Seriously..
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 10:58:45 GMT -8
Well, if they flip scum that's one scum down, if they flip town we look better because we didn't just go for the easy option from the start. So in a way that's win win. I feel like town isn't going to win this though. I'm really hoping Sorian and Sawneeks get enough info that they block the kill. That, or hopefully they're scum.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 11:02:08 GMT -8
Is Sawrian are scum I don't think they're going to get lynched and then we all look silly for giving the claimed Hookers a pass as town.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 11:02:18 GMT -8
*If
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 11:12:20 GMT -8
Ok, one of the PR's is definitely scum
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 11:12:31 GMT -8
Well then... I think one of our town power roles is a LIAR
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 11:13:20 GMT -8
Wonder why they didn't claim, unless they used their power day 2.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 11:13:55 GMT -8
There's a bit of overlap with our chat blockers there.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 11:15:16 GMT -8
Hmm... yeah, kind of overlaps with Royal/hey_monkey
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 11:18:03 GMT -8
I really really hope Sorian and Sawneeks are not scum right now. We have a good chance of getting a cop confirm if they're town, thanks to that flip.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 11:19:24 GMT -8
In fact, if we assume Royal/hey_monkey are scum, then that means Xbro/Kark are most likely town...
So that's fairly good odds of hitting the mafia kill.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 12:19:59 GMT -8
It's Royal_Monkey or Sawrian, I think from a balance perspective it's more likely to be Sawrian.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 13:41:27 GMT -8
I dunno. I could honestly see it either pair.
Hooker is usually a scum aligned role, but Royal/Hey_monkey's oddness in regards to if they could use their power as a pseudo-cop comes to mind... and Scum silencer suddenly seems a whole lot less weak when you take into account that it directly neutralizes's Ty4on's power.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 13:45:24 GMT -8
The oddness thing came in their initial claim post though, like if it was a followup or a backtrack it would look worse, but they were vague about it initially. If they were making it up it would make more sense to give a solid answer either way.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 13:46:21 GMT -8
And the answer that they claimed burb gave sounds like the kind of answer burb would give. Yeah that's terrible reasoning to use.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 13:52:33 GMT -8
7 pairs left so 4 v 2 tomorrow (MYLO), or 3 v 2 v 1, we should be ok if there's a survivor there since all they can to by siding with scum is tie it. If Sawrian are scum and withhold a kill: 5 v 2, so I think we're ok to mislynch. I know Natiko tried the maths in the thread but I kind of skimmed it If they're still alive tomorrow and they don't block the scum kill then, that's a very bad look for them. If they do block the scum kill that maybe clears them, but they could frame their other team mate at this point too and coast to victory. If we revisit the double blocking Ouro thing, there is another explanation for if they're scum: Sawrian said that they didn't realise that implication of being Hookers right away. They could not have realised it at all until the virgins flip.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 13:54:10 GMT -8
And the answer that they claimed burb gave sounds like the kind of answer burb would give. Yeah that's terrible reasoning to use. Actually no, we'd previously discussed how the blockers in the previous game worked in the thread, they could have gotten that from there.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 25, 2017 15:12:19 GMT -8
Hmm... either way, someone's definitely lying.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 25, 2017 15:30:48 GMT -8
Hopefully the night kill clears this up. So far scum haven't been shooting in the top players at all though, wouldn't be surprised if they went for Racohrns which would clear up nothing.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 27, 2017 9:25:28 GMT -8
Verarhmahdrazonz : Town Virgins OuroKitty : Town Mailmen Tyrigger : 1 shot Priests Darryl100: Bookies
Sawrian : Unlimited shot Hookers Royal_Monkey : 2 shot Silencers Dr. Fran : 3 shot Trackers
Xbrodor : Unclaimed NatikoSparks : Unclaimed Us : Vanilla Town
It's got to be Sawrian, their PR is disproportionately powerful compared to the other town PRs, it's the scummiest looking, their actions around their claim have been scummy, it's a direct counter to another town PR, balance wise it fits into this setup better as scum, and Sorian and Sawneeks are the players I can most see gambiting like this (Sorian's windup town strongman vig, Saw going along with Blarg's nonsense).
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 27, 2017 9:26:59 GMT -8
Then I guess NatikoSparks or Xbrodor for the other scum.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 27, 2017 10:29:56 GMT -8
Makes sense.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 27, 2017 10:31:31 GMT -8
The question is: Who's going to die today? The most logical course of action (if it's allowed) is for scum to hold the kill if Sorian and Sawneeks are scum. At which point they can claim that they roleblocked someone and that said person is scum.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 27, 2017 10:35:44 GMT -8
I think it's going to be Racohrs. It fits the patter of who's been dying. And I just realised I forgot them in my previous post.
And wouldn't that just give us an extra lynch if they withheld? Or did I get my numbers wrong?
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 27, 2017 10:36:24 GMT -8
I think it's going to be Racohrs. It fits the patter of who's been dying. And I just realised I forgot them in my previous post. And wouldn't that just give us an extra lynch if they withheld? Or did I get my numbers wrong? Maybe? I probably miscounted.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 27, 2017 10:40:18 GMT -8
7 alive, which means it's probably 2 scum vs 5 town. So yeah, they can't withhold.
|
|
|
Post by Sophia on Aug 27, 2017 10:41:03 GMT -8
Day start will make that 2 scum vs 4 town.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 27, 2017 10:42:57 GMT -8
or 2 scum v 3 town v 1 neutral
which is the more worrying possibility.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 27, 2017 10:44:29 GMT -8
We can't lynch the neutral in this scenario without losing, so they might as well claim if they exist. Would make it easier for us too.
Also I guess there will be a strong push for no lynch today, which I guess is the correct play assuming no neutral.
|
|
|
Post by crimsonfist on Aug 27, 2017 10:44:46 GMT -8
GAFIA has never no lynched during MYLO
|
|