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Post by zippedpinhead on Jan 13, 2016 13:26:49 GMT -8
Hey guys, I know you are busy deciding who to murder, but let's discuss this for a minute : Anyone with a protect bestow, please pick someone that is likely to target me (assuming it would not let me self protect) Anyone with an investigation bestow, please pick someone that is not likely to target me (if you want to be safe, bestow it to me) Anyone that has a way to directly protect me: you are now my best friend, let's hug! This is pretty good advice assuming you do die in three days (Ridli hinting at one more negative seems to confirm this).
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Post by Roytheone on Jan 13, 2016 13:39:13 GMT -8
Also, if someone has a kill power, be extremely carefull. Don't give it to cabot, ty or anyone else that could want to kill me.
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Post by zippedpinhead on Jan 13, 2016 13:43:33 GMT -8
Also, if someone has a kill power, be extremely carefull. Don't give it to cabot, ty or anyone else that could want to kill me. This is all assuming you are town of course. Now don't everyone load up Roy with abilities, poor guy can only have 3, and who knows if scum has another manipulative spirit.
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Post by zippedpinhead on Jan 13, 2016 13:44:09 GMT -8
Everyone just pick a favorite and hope they don't screw up.
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Post by Swamped on Jan 13, 2016 13:47:57 GMT -8
Aw hell yeah!!! One has to wonder if some bussing happened. Thing is, we may have only started with one scum in here. And omg looks like us sprouts can still be banished. Ah well. I feel really good about Karu being Island. He'll probably die tonight... Truly, the afterlife is the real game and the Island is the side one Later I'll post a list of Islanders I'd like to kill. Glad to see Blarg is posting good stuff. Not sure about his alignment yet, but it's good stuff. I'm feeling iffy on Kalor now, but this discussion can wait until D2 begins.
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Post by Roytheone on Jan 13, 2016 13:51:21 GMT -8
Everyone just pick a favorite and hope they don't screw up. Well, if your favorite hates me, maybe reconsider Also, yeah, don't target me with all your bestows, at the contrary even. remember : I basically outed the existence of this mechanic in an earlier post today. So anyone getting bestowed will be more likely to believe me!
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Post by Hyperactivity on Jan 13, 2016 13:57:02 GMT -8
shiiiiit Roy might end up dead today
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Post by Kalor on Jan 13, 2016 13:58:59 GMT -8
Yeah, L_P likely said that Roy was the medium and I doubt they want that information being widely available.
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Post by ridli on Jan 13, 2016 14:04:30 GMT -8
Are you fucking kidding me in here.
Death was supposed to be a release, but now I've got 11 pages to read, and another game to deal with? This is not quite what I expected. After I catch up, I have a new theory about Sorian I want to post, as well as a minor theory about Zipped(not a bad one).
For now though, Roy's a dick.
Vote: Sorian
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Post by Roytheone on Jan 13, 2016 14:06:36 GMT -8
Are you fucking kidding me in here. Death was supposed to be a release, but now I've got 11 pages to read, and another game to deal with? This is not quite what I expected. After I catch up, I have a new theory about Sorian I want to post, as well as a minor theory about Zipped(not a bad one). For now though, Roy's a dick. Vote: Sorian Can you forgive me?
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Post by karu on Jan 13, 2016 14:07:28 GMT -8
Well, thanks. Mhhh.... I will vote for zipped tomorrow. *cough*
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Post by Swamped on Jan 13, 2016 14:09:06 GMT -8
Are you fucking kidding me in here. Death was supposed to be a release, but now I've got 11 pages to read, and another game to deal with? This is not quite what I expected. After I catch up, I have a new theory about Sorian I want to post, as well as a minor theory about Zipped(not a bad one). For now though, Roy's a dick. Vote: Sorian Hahahaha Welcome to the REAL game Ridli I'm double thinking a vote on Sorian. I mean, do we really want him in here? Actually, do we know for a fact that the player we kill joins us here, or do they get ejected from the game completely?
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Post by Swamped on Jan 13, 2016 14:18:08 GMT -8
Oh
Very important point (or extrapolation at least)
Look at LP's PM. It says he is STILL aligned with evil spirits. I'm going to assume that means the alignment you had when alive us the same as when dead. This confirms that it's crucial to develop reads based on the main thread.
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Post by Roytheone on Jan 13, 2016 14:18:06 GMT -8
Yeah, L_P likely said that Roy was the medium and I doubt they want that information being widely available. Yeah, I didn't count on scum being able to communicate between alive and dead members Let's hope someone manages to protect me somehow. Would be kinda weird though. Hey, you can post in the dead thread! But if you do scum knows that and you are almost certainly dead! That's a weird role to have, it's basically suicide.
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Post by Hyperactivity on Jan 13, 2016 14:39:52 GMT -8
We're killing Sorian tonight, right? Dude is so full of shit it hurts I'm kind of afraid of Sorian coming to our thread. I think he reads neutral, especially since his death and time stamps here are so weird. But he is such a lightning rod I would be afraid he would dominate our discussions of others. So that's why I don't think we should kill him tonight. I am afraid that he would distract us WAY too much AND I think he will likely get lynched tomorrow anyway. now killing a czartim or Terrabyte20xx. I could get behind those from a "we need people who are pretty good at scum finding but also were kinda shady so they might be scum". Triggergaf feels like he could be scum, he kinda bandwagonned Ridli and didn't really put up a defense. We also need to think about who we are going to bestow stuff on. Six is majority today. I'm pretty sure we don't have a ton of scum in the afterlife yet, but I think this flip may help me out. vote: Loneprodigy He'll be far worse in the other thread. Even if he's town, he will just keep leading people onto bandwagon after bandwagon
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Post by Sawneeks on Jan 13, 2016 14:48:17 GMT -8
The thread moved way too fast for me to keep up. Anyway I'm on page 61 of the Island thread. The main topic is ridli so it's hard to get any reads from the others (scum can just go and say "yeah he seems suspicious but I'm not going to vote him yet because he's already leading"). Sorian definitely sticks out but he does seem to play like this. He gave off the same vibes in MGS (overly aggressive and a bit smug) and he was town. Top Island scum: Trigger Terra nin Sorian Haven't seen much from the first three. Sorian might be neutral. Read on Scrafty, Ridli, and Xam please. Scrafty seems to be coasting, and is focused on nin. Leaning scum. Ridli turned down Roy's role, which seems possible. Can he read Afterlife, or maybe he investigated Roy? Or Roy is scum and gave Ridli his claim? Leaning scum. I don't know how Xam plays, but his posts seem to be all over the place. Could just be his playstyle. Leaning town. I wish there was some way we could show the main thread that L_P flipped Scum, I think it would at least give them a starting point to go off of. Regardless, these are the only things that stuck out to me after going through his posts. I do think it's worth looking into who defended L_P when his name was brought up in the main thread for being inactive, might give some clues. In the meantime I still think it's worth looking at L_P's Top list because I wouldn't be surprised if he was lying about most or all of those names. Why? He read Ridli as Scum a few minutes before he flipped Town and L_P knew full well that he was going to flip that way, meaning he is more-than-likely completely lying about the other reads. This does actually soften my read on Scrafty, something I'm still not sure about. Her actions today have gotten better and she seems much more Town than Day 1 but I wouldn't put her anywhere near my Top Town players. But the fact that L_P called her Scum... Xam is a interesting read as well. "His posts are all over the place" which is influenced by his playstyle and that means he is Town?? Weird leap in logic there, most people assume his playstyle is weird and therefore people get a null read on him. The Top Island Scum is also a fun list, namely because the Top 3 are all low activity posters and easy targets to call Scum. Terra/Trigger I can't comment on much due to their nearly non-existent presence in the game and Nin, well, actually he is playing weird so I kind of agree there. Sorian being on that list isn't much of a surprise given how dividing his existence in the game seems to be. I don't clear him because of his name on that list, but I feel better guessing he is a Neutral. All-in-all: My Scum read on Xam has gone up I'll lighten up on Scrafty I guess. Still want her lynched tho Terra/Trigger are probably inactive Townies Nin = ????? Sorian is a Neutral with a serious agenda.
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Post by Roytheone on Jan 13, 2016 14:54:04 GMT -8
I wish there was some way we could show the main thread that L_P flipped Scum, I think it would at least give them a starting point to go off of. Yeah, if only such a way existed.
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Post by Sawneeks on Jan 13, 2016 15:00:53 GMT -8
I wish there was some way we could show the main thread that L_P flipped Scum, I think it would at least give them a starting point to go off of. Yeah, if only such a way existed. Hush, you. :p I mean give them a 100%, doubt-free way to know. If you go in there tomorrow with guns blazing and claim Medium with access to a secret Spectator thread that's also a Mafia game and that they lynched L_P who flipped Scum I doubt that many would believe you. Even if you hint that we bestowed certain powers on people, not everyone is going to get one and those people won't have any reason to believe you. Those who did get a power might not even step up either in fear they will reveal that they got something.
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Post by zippedpinhead on Jan 13, 2016 15:12:02 GMT -8
L_P really didn't post much... we got lucky I think.
Roy, I don't think you should claim until your last day OR you think you are a goner.
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Post by Roytheone on Jan 13, 2016 15:17:53 GMT -8
Yeah, if only such a way existed. Hush, you. Never! But yeah, claiming will be a dangerous thing, let's at least hope I am not forced to do it and not because I ended up dead (honestly, outside of you guys voting and the island lynch, do we have any idea how the island deaths will work?) Anyway, going to bed, have this totally not creepy owl GIF :
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Post by Sawneeks on Jan 13, 2016 15:50:27 GMT -8
Never! But yeah, claiming will be a dangerous thing, let's at least hope I am not forced to do it :( and not because I ended up dead >:( ( honestly, outside of you guys voting and the island lynch, do we have any idea how the island deaths will work?)Anyway, going to bed, have this totally not creepy owl GIF : I think the reason 9 players died on Night 1 is because of Zipped's role PM. And considering Zipped claims what showed up wasn't his original role PM I have a feeling whoever got lynched first was going to become The Outside regardless just so Splinter could fill this place up with ghosts. From now on I think it will be a standard 2 -3 deaths. In before I'm horribly wrong and we get like 6 deaths tonight.
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Post by Sawneeks on Jan 13, 2016 15:51:28 GMT -8
Okay so, L_P's Role PM, let's dissect it together as a class. Off the bat it's pretty clear L_P was Scum in the main thread as well as this one thanks to the "You are still aligned with the Evil Spirits" line. I know Blarg brought it up but the emphasis on 'still aligned' makes me think some people will change alignment. However, I think people can only change from Town -> Scum and not vice versa because if a Scum became a Townie all they would have to do is out their ex-partners and we kill each one off at Night and bring them here to banish. Sounds too easy imo. Speaking of which, the win condition. " Kill everyone to destroy the Volcano God (and win)". The main thing here is we now know how Scum has to win, aka by killing everyone on the Island. We also now have clarification on Town's win condition, something a few people were confused on. " Banish all Evil Spirits to appease the Volcano God." as opposed to 'kill' or 'remove' all Evil Spirits. In the 'Important Rules' in the OP it mentions how our job here is to 'Banish (lynch) on player from the Afterlife', meaning Town can't win by simply killing all living Scum, we need to Banish them here in order to win. Also notice it says "Kill everyone" in the Scum win condition, not just 'Kill Islanders' or 'Kill Town'. Neutral confirmation? Now regarding the Scum Team. All Scum members have access to the faction Night Kill ( pretty standard ) but that kill can only target Afterlife players. This means the one standard Scum Kill per Night is only to kill us here, meaning one of us will die after this Night phase. Balance-wise this restriction makes sense; Scum win by killing all living players, Town win by Banishing all Evil Spirits. If Scum could kill living players with their standard kill then they would be able to win much faster by simply focusing on their Win condition and not worrying about here. Scum Chat, I feel, is a given considering there is nothing in the PM saying he was cut-off from his team. This means L_P had complete access to his Scum group and was probably relaying info to them, meaning they know about Roy, our plan, etc. :( Now for a theory: Scum team isn't as big as we think it is and all Scum have an extra ability. My guess is 4 or 5 Scum MAX. Why? Because if a Scum flips in the main thread and comes here I think they keep their alignment, meaning we simply have to banish them out when we get a chance. With such a large player count this would allow a smaller Scum team to skate by and not get lynched as Town rips each other apart. Remember, Scum win when they kill everyone, not banish everyone. All they have to do is skate by and let Town die for them to win, nothing more. This is why I also think each Scum has extra abilities, like the GOAT Scum Team in HP Mafia. Every single member of that team had up to 2 abilities for them to use at their discretion and I think it's the same here, something to help a smaller team win in a big game. I also believe these abilities are only focused on attacking living Townies, not us. This would be balanced by having their main Faction Kill be Afterlife-only as they only have to keep us at bay long enough for them to win and this is probably why those of us here can only affect living players because we need to keep them alive. Okay, that's all for today. Class dismissed!
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Post by ridli on Jan 13, 2016 15:57:47 GMT -8
Okay you guys covered the Zipped thing and the ordinary thing. Once i read the OP in here, i had a theory that the first lynch was always going to be the bomb. Otherwise this sub game would be pretty damn weird for a while. That also made me think that nobody, except maybe Sorian, knew their real role on D1. The way medium was handed out also supported that line of thought. Now that I see LPs flip though, it seems scum knew each other from the start so I'm far less certain.
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Post by ridli on Jan 13, 2016 16:13:05 GMT -8
Ok, LPs flip makes me feel better about this theory, but its still a bit insane.
Sorian is literally the Volcano. This is a bit meta-gamey but they had to get this game to finish before the next season starts, right? I think we're on a timer. Sorian will automatically win at Day X, UNLESS town or scum meet their win condition. I think its why he's trying so hard to stifle some speculation.
I absolutely think we need to kill him and then banish him to test the overall theory.
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Post by ridli on Jan 13, 2016 16:21:48 GMT -8
Otherwise my reads are basically the same as what i said in the island thread.
I'm much less sure here. Can we no-banish? I don't think more than 2 scum started here, and its possible LP was the only one. I haven't seen anyone talk about that risk yet.
If not Sorian tonight, I was also agitated by Scrafty and Cabot in my lynch pool in particular. There were also a LOT of people that said they would go after me, but never did, which could be scum dodging responsibility.
Aside from that, Dusks vote on whoever in the middle of my stuff was such a terrible post and vote.
Basically, my preference is sorian > dusk > cabot > scrafty
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Post by karu on Jan 13, 2016 16:39:48 GMT -8
When I read the bolded part, I was like... ouuuhhhh shit... and your second post spills it out. It's a weird theory, for sure. Mhhhm.
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Post by neverforever on Jan 13, 2016 17:02:30 GMT -8
just checking in
there are so many posts for me to get my head around so apols if I take a while to get into the swing of things
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Post by ridli on Jan 13, 2016 17:09:13 GMT -8
just checking in there are so many posts for me to get my head around so apols if I take a while to get into the swing of things I'm still catching up myself, but the most urgent thing is sending your role action and deciding who we're killing. You'll have more time to get reads on THIS chat tomorrow.
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Post by Swamped on Jan 13, 2016 17:13:03 GMT -8
just checking in there are so many posts for me to get my head around so apols if I take a while to get into the swing of things Yeah, take your time. But so glad to have you back! I'll be posting my top 6 town soon, updated from my last post. Won't publicize who I'm bestowing though.
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Post by zippedpinhead on Jan 13, 2016 19:00:28 GMT -8
I'm not sold on scrafty, and I really don't want Sorian here (especially since I think he will get lynched tomorrow). If Sorian is still alive after tomorrow, I think he is a good night candidate for night 11.
Cabot, dusk, czartim, Terrabyte, and Cornb. Those are the people I think are the most scummy. I will gladly vote for any of them from a "might be scum" point of view.
In fact,
vote: Cornb
Just for dropping the hammer on Ridli, at least I think he did.
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