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Post by batsnacks on Feb 7, 2017 4:54:37 GMT -8
Am I totally off with haly/time/gorlak/LP?
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Post by Kawl on Feb 7, 2017 5:59:49 GMT -8
I'll let you in on a secret
I don't even begin forming reads day 1 most of the time.
So idk none of those strike me particularly strongly, but then again no one really does thus far
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Post by Kawl on Feb 7, 2017 10:33:49 GMT -8
Hey yn how do you feel about me sharing an excel worksheet that's just probabilities and distributions for the various set ups?
if you aren't okay with it I understand
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Post by yn on Feb 7, 2017 13:28:03 GMT -8
math? u wants to unload math onto your unsuspecting fellow passengers???
:O
PROCEED :>
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Post by Kawl on Feb 7, 2017 20:29:58 GMT -8
Role DistributionThis should work. I've gotten it broken down into info town knows (1, 3, or 5 M) and what we know (3 or 5 M) Not too terribly much info to gather from this but as any other roles are revealed they start to become more meaningful as we impede on the more likely sets of Ts. Probably won't share with town unless one of us gets got, but wanted to put this out there in case I go early. You should be able to edit that pretty easily to see how any more role information impacts it. Let me know if you can't.
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 3:53:35 GMT -8
Shit LP might be the doctor. "I'll tell you tomorrow" might be "I'm gonna claim."
Look at the votes right now, who is mafia voting if not LP?
No one would see this except us since we know we're both town not sure what to do
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 4:07:29 GMT -8
Oh nice sheet I didn't see that
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 4:34:33 GMT -8
 Crab posted this, yet he is voting LP for the basically same reasons as Tim??? I know it's a joke but why is he joking with Tim about this |
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 4:38:02 GMT -8
Their whole interaction is super awkward
Tim asks "who aside from LP?"
Crab posts picture
Tim jokes it off
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 4:40:16 GMT -8
I'm gonna let you vet me on this before I post something potentially silly in the thread
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 5:04:06 GMT -8
im gonna go down the whole list
Is mafia ouro voting timeaisis for made up reasons? Idk about that
Is mafia Timeaisis voting gorlak for being too defensive? Maybe but if so there's still 2 mafia left
Is mafia squid voting kyan? Maybe but squids perspective on LP seems town, mafia squid has nothing to gain defending LP.
Is mafia gorlak voting me? Maybe but gorlak could just be biased and bad cause of what I did last game.
Mafia has to have votes down somewhere, there's nowhere else other than LP who's reaction to pressure is very doctor-ish
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 5:36:45 GMT -8
Let me go back and reread that. Possibly try to reread the whole day during work if things are slow enough today.
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 5:37:49 GMT -8
And right we are the only two people in the game who know we have for sure 3 scum.
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 5:41:31 GMT -8
Was ouros "assuming 3 scum" a slip or is he just playing the odds?
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 5:42:36 GMT -8
K
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 5:44:39 GMT -8
Was ouros "assuming 3 scum" a slip or is he just playing the odds? Maybe but i don't think it's good to assume he did |
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 5:56:06 GMT -8
Yea looking at the odds is like >70% of set ups have three scum so I think he was just making a reasonable assumption. Be careful we don't slip on stating that as fact though
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 5:56:57 GMT -8
I've got a morning meeting from now for an hour but I'm reading tims and crabs interactions from the point where crab joins the thread. Will give you thoughts probably a bit after 10 est
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 7:07:32 GMT -8
Yea Tim and crab does read weird to me.
Has crab ever stated that he is actually suspicious of LP or was he just wanting his questions answered?
I also didn't read LPs statement as a possible doctor claim. I read it in direct response to melon asking who specifically he was suspicious of. There's not really a good reason for not answering that question. I don't like LP this game tbh
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 7:08:33 GMT -8
But I'd probably get behind moving a vote to one Of tim or crab if you made the case in the thread. At least see if we can stir something up. Especially if LP actually comes back with anything of worth today
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 7:41:14 GMT -8
Yeah I don't like what LP is doing but I don't really think it makes him mafia and worst case scenario he's a power role who has shut down and plans to rely on a claim
I'll post some soon. Expecting poor reception to it tbh but I'm not worried about getting lynched
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 7:46:27 GMT -8
Between tim and crab who do you feel is more scummy?
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 7:51:06 GMT -8
Between tim and crab who do you feel is more scummy? Crab. Tim started it Crab found his way there. |
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 8:54:39 GMT -8
Tims responses seemed reasonable but they were kind of softball questions, how did it look from your perspective?
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 11:47:55 GMT -8
Personally I wouldn't be liking your wishy washy ness if I didn't know you were town. Who are you comfortable voting for today?
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 12:07:38 GMT -8
Personally I wouldn't be liking your wishy washy ness if I didn't know you were town. Who are you comfortable voting for today? Good  Not sure yet I'm gonna mess around at eod and see what people do |
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 12:09:03 GMT -8
lol alright
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 12:13:03 GMT -8
They won't kill me tonight right.
I'd like to live.
I don't like my odds if we have a sk...
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Post by batsnacks on Feb 8, 2017 12:14:17 GMT -8
Mafia's spread out right now, no danger. Maybe they're comfortable to sit.
I might see if I can swing at gorlak. Dude did no work for town today.
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Post by Kawl on Feb 8, 2017 12:20:01 GMT -8
What's vote count? Need to see what vote spread looks like. Scum could be split 2-1 and not be able to move for fear of outing another member. Wouldn't write off one of the multiple vote getters as being scum just yet
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