Fire votes melon right off the bat. Her scumminess comes much later though so I don't think this can be anything more than a coincidence. Now he's talking about Time defending melon, alluding to them being teammates. Fire votes Time, clearly suspects him more than melon, even if they're possible teammates. Talks about not lynching inactives. As a cop this could be him saying "leave them to me", but checking melon doesn't fit that. Not sure this means anything. Day 2 he hasn't really mentioned rabbit, still focused on Time. Inconclusive, hopefully he will interact with melon more today.
Zipped started on Panda. Making weird comments about animals this game.
I cAn understand wanting to make the case for not peeking. That way tomorrow you can say "I decided it wasn't in town's best interest and it's my role"
I like using roles, because I'm always afraid of being NK'd (I never am though.l, seriously only been NK'd Danganronpa. Most of the time I get lynched #scummiesttownever).
But seriously, I am not married to the panda vote and my 1-day old is sleeping. So I'm willing to change, just not sure to whom
...what? Zipped asking what a cop should do if they hit scum. Please don't target me oldest rival. Day 2, zipped thinks there are no animal themed players in the game, claims melonrabbit peek in his next post, then immediately claims this peek is the reason he didn't vote for her before. If he's trying to confuse me it worked, but I think he genuinely forgot the rabbit, which slightly points to it being a fake peek.
That's it? Fuck
Fire clearly suspects melon, so either he peeked her for real, changed his mind overnight, or doesn't know how to fake peek. I don't think he changed his mind. I'm unconcerned about him not checking his top suspect since he (Time) will be lynched without a cop check.
Zipped... How the fuck am I supposed to read Zipped? Looks like he never mentioned rabbit, but then he didn't mention many people. He's really not given any clues away so far, only that post asking for cop advice makes me think he's the cop.
I'm also worried about Steve. I'm sure his lack of a peek is intentional, at the very least to bait scum into asking for it. But he had a few scumread on him yesterday, not enough to lynch him but enough to avoid NK. He could be gambling on not dying, so he can claim himself after a couple of days, while scum waste their efforts on the peekers (and Gorlak).
Right now I suspect Fire, Steve, Zipped. In that order. Problem is Fire is the easiest lynch so I dont know if I want to gamble on leaving him alive. I have Steve in second but at the same time it's based on (almost literally) nothing...
If we lynch Time today, can I push for Fire tomorrow? Have I left myself enough leeway to move away from a melonrabbit lynch (temporarily)?
Ah melonrabbit peeked swamped, that's a realistic pick. Fuck. Will have to lynch melon tomorrow.
Damnit Kawl this was supposed to be your job.
Still need to find the (probably BP) SK as well. Don't think there are many clues to that though, besides Salvia's possible breadcrumbs (combined with Swamped voting Kawl). Could easily be an SK posing as a vig.
Which means they're definitely BP, gfdi. This theory also implies melon is not the cop though.
Or swamped IS a 1 shot vig and the SK kill went missing somehow. That means no more PR though so I'm ok with this.
Obviously my biggest threat now is a potential roleblocker, but I don't have any real way to hunt for that specifically. Nothing has stood out as a potential breadcrumb, and even those are extremely tenuous.
Looking at numbers, we probably only need 2 or 3 mislynches, with both time and melon being near-guaranteed. Maybe Fireblend too. I'd go so far as to say I'm already safe for lylo barring PR interference.
My big concern now is the SK. Swamped I could have left alive I think but if it's Salva he will more likely target me sooner rather than later. Whoever it is, I'm assuming it will take me 2 nights to kill them, and I also need to kill gorlak (he's useful for now but too unpredictable to take into lylo).
So either we lynch the SK (which would be more luck than judgement at this point) or I don't have time to kill Steve.
Numbers with SK alive: D1 13 D2 10 D3 7 D4 4 mylo (actually lylo) Need 3 more mislynches, easy. SK likely to kill me and mylo with SK is awkward.
Numbers if I successfully target a BP SK tonight: D1 13 D2 10 D3 8 D4 5 D5 3 lylo Needs luck in finding SK asap, 4 mislynches, achievable.
Interestingly, if I miss the SK tonight but find them tomorrow: D1 13 D2 10 D3 7 D4 5 D5 2 win Need three mislynches, but again high risk of SK killing me.
I'd like SK to target Gorlak, but I think they will continue to pose as a vig.
Actually they're more likely to target one of my mislynches, fuck.
And all of that was assuming doctor/roleblocker does nothing useful. Hmm...
SK is still my priority, I shouldn't be lynched unless I really fuck up.
Most likely lynches: time, melon, Fire, LP. Expect the SK to pick off at least one of these. Salva and Zipped are possible at the moment, although I might kill Salva myself while SK hunting :/ Ouro/Steve will be tough to lynch, even in end game. Gorlak is obviously out of the picture barring SK-scum team up in lylo.
I should probably hit Ouro or Gorlak. Steve troubles me as a wildcard but I don't have time to remove him, just gonna have to outplay him.
Ouro's analysis is off, but they'll figure out we're in 5T soon enough.
I'll let them be wrong for the time being. Although I can already prove (actually need 1 more ordinary flip but that will happen today) that we're in 5T and therefore have an SK. Maybe that will stop the SK from pretending to be a vig?
Downside is I won't be able to fake claim anything. There's no town points in explaining this either, so I'll save it for later.